Saturday, May 31, 2014

The Beginning of the End for Facebook

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- I've never been a big fan of Facebook (FB), definitely not the stock, and perhaps to a lesser extent, the application. The stock is ridiculously priced at 208 times trailing earnings, 48 times 2014 consensus earnings estimates, more than 10 times book value, and 18 times revenue. Keep in mind that these sentiments are from a value investor, who simply can't fathom those multiples, and growth investors would make the argument that those measures are irrelevant in Facebook's case. [Read: Dramatic 48-Hour Shift in Apple Sentiment] Indeed, the stock has been on a tear since mid-July, following a better-than-expected quarter after an aggressive push into mobile advertising, and shares are up nearly 80% since then. The stock has finally managed to eclipse its intraday high of $45 from its very first day of trading on May 12, 2012. The company now boasts of having more than 1 million advertisers; that's impressive, and one of the reasons that investors are re-engaged.

FB ChartFB data by YCharts

There is no doubt that some investors have made money from owning the stock, and I am not discounting the possibility that shares may run even higher. We've seen countless examples of overvalued companies continuing to head higher, well beyond their true value. It's yet another example of the inefficiencies that make the markets and investor psychology so fascinating. Investors will continue to buy names, such as Facebook, that are priced for perfection.

In the past few days, two things happened, neither of which relates to the company's financials, that have me again questioning Facebook's prospects. Granted these are completely anecdotal in nature, and their relevance is more from the gut, than from the mind. In fact, I was not even planning on writing about Facebook today, but can't help myself. The first thing was an article in our newspaper entitled "Facebook's Fall From Cool," written by a local high school student. In the article, the young author proclaims that Facebook has become an "obligation," as opposed to a "source of entertainment." Now, that may be nothing new. The article itself caused me to quiz my own teenagers, who told me in no uncertain terms, that kids have turned away from Facebook, and would rather use Twitter or Instagram. [Read: Understanding Obamacare: 4 Things You Need to Know ] Now, the fact that Facebook bought Instagram last September is certainly not lost on me. The question is, when will the kids also tire of Instagram, and what will take its place? Perhaps Facebook will be the force behind the next hot social media application, but that is presuming a lot.

The second thing that happened, which has dampened the little enthusiasm I had remaining for Facebook itself, was a series of posts by one of my own Facebook friends, who is a very decent guy.

Two days ago, he mentioned that he'd be undergoing a colonoscopy, likening it to April 15 -- tax day. That was fine, actually funny, but still much more than I, or anyone else needs to know.

Then late yesterday came the recap of the procedure, four paragraphs worth. Too much information, and enough to sour me from logging on, and reading about anyone's latest medical exploits, or how little Billy can now recite pi out to 400 decimals. They should perhaps rename it "Bragbook," or "TooMuchInformationIDon'tCareAboutBook."

Mark Zuckerberg has publicly stated that he never intended for Facebook to be cool. But I can't help but question the growing, albeit anecdotal, sentiment of Facebook fatigue. This does not mean that the company won't continue to earn millions of dollars. It just means, that in my view, it is hard to make the case that the company, currently valued at $112 billion, is worth more than either McDonald's (MCD), or Home Depot (HD), or DuPont (DD) and Walgreen (WAG) combined. There's often a disconnect between price and value, and we may once again be seeing it here. My gut could certainly be wrong, it would not be the first time. Follow @JonMHellerCFA This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

At the time of publication, Heller had no positions in stocks mentioned. Jonathan Heller, CFA, is president of KEJ Financial Advisors, his fee-only financial planning company. Jon spent 17 years at Bloomberg Financial Markets in various roles, from 1989 until 2005. He ran Bloomberg's Equity Fundamental Research Department from 1994 until 1998, when he assumed responsibility for Bloomberg's Equity Data Research Department. In 2001, he joined Bloomberg's Publishing group as senior markets editor and writer for Bloomberg Personal Finance Magazine, and an associate editor and contributor for Bloomberg Markets Magazine. In 2005, he joined SEI Investments as director of investment communications within SEI's Investment Management Unit. Jon is also the founder of the Cheap Stocks Web site, a site dedicated to deep-value investing. He has an undergraduate degree from Grove City College and an MBA from Rider University, where he has also served on the adjunct faculty; he is also a CFA charter holder.

Friday, May 30, 2014

5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy Now

Twitter Logo Google Plus Logo RSS Logo Aaron Levitt Popular Posts: 5 Dividend ETFs Doling Out Monthly DividendsHow to Play The Natural Gas Deal of the CenturyMPC Scores Major Win With Hess Deal Recent Posts: 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy Now Bitcoin Bounces Back! – Morning Linkfest (May 30) 5 Dividend ETFs Doling Out Monthly Dividends View All Posts

While most of the energy sector is dominated by large-cap oil stocks like behemoth Chevron (CVX) or small-fry wildcatters just getting started, the truth is that firms in the middle could be some of the sector’s best bets.

iStock 000004179183XSmall2 e1283207647433 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy NowMidcaps — firms with market caps between $2 billion and $10 billion — could be the sweet spot for energy investors. That's because midcaps offer the best attributes of large- and small-cap stocks. Typically, midcaps benefit from strong cash flows, stable business models and less volatility than smaller equities. There's plenty of strong dividend potential as well. On the other hand, midcaps are just small enough to grow faster than their larger counterparts.

This combination of factors has helped midcap stocks beat both large and small-caps in the returns category over the longer term. And in the energy sector, that outperformance has held true as well.

For investors, focusing on the stocks right in the middle could be the key to long-term outperformance and portfolio gains. Here are five midcap energy stocks to buy now:

Midcap Energy Stocks To Buy #1: Atwood Oceanics (ATW)

atw 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy NowThe offshore contract drilling sector is dominated by larger firms like Transocean (RIG) and Noble (NE). However, with a market cap of just $3 billion, Atwood Oceanics (ATW) could be in the sweet spot for investors looking at midcap energy stocks.

ATW is a much smaller offshore driller than its rivals — owning a fleet of just 14 rigs and drillships. However, Atwood's small fleet is actually pretty modern and features four ultra-deepwater drillships and two ultra-deepwater semisubmersibles.

While day rates for ultra-deepwater rigs have taken a breather as of late, these ships still command a hefty price tag. ATW's most advanced and newest rig — the Atwood Hunter — is under contract with a cost to rent of $515,500 per day. That rate is 75% higher than the average day rate of similar rigs ($294,000).

An added benefit is that the bulk of ATW's rigs are actually working rather being cold-stacked. Its rigs have been booked for 92% of all the days remaining in 2014, while 2015 is currently booked at 80%. Those high rates should help boost ATW's profits down the road.

Meanwhile, ATW currently trades for a dirt-cheap forward P/E of less than 7. That's significantly lower than its chief rivals.

Midcap Energy Stocks To Buy #2: HollyFrontier (HFC)

Holly Frontier HFC 185 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy NowRefiners live and die by their margins. If crack spreads are too tight, profits are dwindled down to nothing. Luckily for midcap refiner HollyFrontier (HFC), it's still enjoying pretty juicy margins on its refined products.

That's because HFC's five refineries are all located in the center of the United States, right smack in the middle of West Texas Intermediate crude country. And as we've seen, the WTI-Brent crack spread has been quite rich the last few years. That has helped Holly produce some pretty impressive profits.

And with the WTI-Brent spread recently getting wider, HFC should be able to keep churning out those revenues.

Holly should also keep churning out dividends as well.

Since launching in 2011, HFC has managed to return about $2.2 billion worth of cash back to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. The latest was special 50-cent dividend, in addition to upping its regular payout by 6.7%. HFC stock currently yields 2.6% and trades for a forward P/E of less than 10. As far as midcap energy stocks go, HFC is on its way to becoming a dividend champion.

Midcap Energy Stocks To Buy #3: SM Energy Company (SM)

SMEnergy185 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy NowAsk any investor to name the hottest shale formations in the U.S. and odds are the words Bakken and Eagle Ford would be at the top of their lists. Add in the prolific Permian Basin and you have a trifecta of shale oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs) that can power profits for years to come.

Now what if I told you there was a midcap energy stock tapping all three regions with gusto?

Well, SM Energy Company (SM) has exposure to all three as well as the upcoming Wolfcamp. Those hot shale plays should help push SM's production up around 16% this year. And the fact that SM enjoys liquids rich production will keep the profits coming.

For the latest quarter, SM saw a 31% increase in total operating revenues for the first quarter of 2014 versus the same period a year ago. Profits registered 96 cents per diluted share, beating analysts’ estimates.

But given the company’s exposure, those hefty revenue and profit gains could be just for the beginning for SM Energy and SM stock investors. Meanwhile, its midcap size makes it perfect for a buyout.

Midcap Energy Stocks To Buy #4:  Oceaneering International (OII)

Oceaneering OII 185 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy NowIt takes a lot of technology and know-how in order to drill in the ultra-deep water of the world. For the energy stocks providing those services, it can mean some huge profits. For Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs) specialist Oceaneering International (OII), it can mean record profits.

OII owns 304 ROVs that help E&P firms support undersea drilling, pipeline construction and well completion from the surface. The firm also produces various pieces of undersea drilling hardware for use in deepwater applications. That niche market has allowed OII to continue to rack-up growing and record profits in recent years.

For the first quarter 2014, Oceaneering International managed to generate net income of $91.2 million or 84 cents per share. Revenues clocked in at $840.2 million. That was a 22% gain in earnings per share versus the same period a year ago. That growth in revenue and profits were higher than many of its competitors.

Aside from a rising share price, OII stock investors have been treated to rising dividends as well. The latest increase was a 22.73% jump to its quarterly payout. Shares of OII stock now yield 1.5%.

Midcap Energy Stocks To Buy #5: Ultra Petroleum (UPL)

Ultra Petroleum 185 5 Midcap Energy Stocks to Buy NowWhat a difference a few years can make. After getting killed by low natural gas prices, Ultra Petroleum (UPL) has bounced back with a vengeance. Yet more good times could be in store for the midcap energy stock.

First off, the cold winter and hot spring has increased power consumption across the U.S. That has depleted our natural gas storage reserves, boosting prices higher and higher. Since UPL is predominately a natural gas producer, those higher prices mean money in the bank.

At the same time, most of UPL's current and future drilling programs are tied to oil. In fact, during the first quarter of this year, UPL managed to see a 145% year-over-year jump in oil production. That growing oil production — along with its higher price — helped drive earnings of 87 cents per share. A year ago, UPL only earned 38 cents.

Add in the oil growth and the rise in natural gas prices, and you have a recipe for great gains in the year ahead.

UPL stock trades for a forward P/E of just 8. That actually makes the midcap energy stock a cheaper bet than buying giant Exxon Mobil (XOM), and an easy pick for one of the best midcap energy stocks.

As of this writing, Aaron Levitt did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Top 5 International Stocks To Buy For 2015

Top 5 International Stocks To Buy For 2015: T. Rowe Price Group Inc.(TROW)

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. The firm primarily provides its services to individual and institutional investors, retirement plans, and financial intermediaries. Through its subsidiaries it manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced portfolios along with mutual funds. It also provides advisory services. The firm invests in the public equity, venture capital, and fixed income markets across the globe. T. Rowe Price Group was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland with additional offices in London, United Kingdom; Central Hong Kong, Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan; and Singapore.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rick Aristotle Munarriz]

    Alamy What if there was a way to buy Apple (AAPL) -- recently trading near $568 a share -- for just $500? It's not an outlandish scenario. That's essentially what investors buying into Tri-Continental (TY) are doing. Like many closed-end stock funds, Tri-Continental trades for less than the value of its underlying assets. In Tri-Continental's case, its close on Dec. 24 of $20.18 is a 12 percent discount to its net asset value of $22.95 a share. Tri-Continental invests in some of the country's largest companies across various different industries. Apple just happens to be its largest holding at nearly 3 percent of the portfolio, but it's one of the many stocks in Tri-Continental that investors are buying into for pennies on the dollar. If this sounds too good to be true, you would be right. There's a catch -- and a big catch, at that. But let's first explore the largely ignored universe of closed-end funds. Fun with Funds When investors think about mutual funds they are probably referring to the wide universe of open-ended funds. Led by iconic fund families including Vanguard, Fidelity and T. Rowe Price (TROW), these conventional funds sell an unlimited number of shares. They t! ypically are priced just once at the end of every trading day. Buyers invest and sellers cash out at that day's net asset value, or the closing value of all of the stocks and investments in the funds after subtracting any liabilities that is then divided by the number of shares outstanding. Closed-end funds don't play that way. They trade throughout the day on public exchanges. Tri-Continental, for example, trades on the New York Stock Exchange. A closed-end fund doesn't create new shares when investors want to buy or subtract them when those shares are redeemed. There's a set number of shares, and the free markets of supply and demand dictate their price. Tri-Continental isn't new. The fund has been around since 1929, the same year of a historic market crash. It's one of the hund

  • [By Seth Jayson]

    T. Rowe Price Group (Nasdaq: TROW  ) reported earnings on April 24. Here are the numbers you need to know.

    The 10-second takeaway
    For the quarter ended March 31 (Q1), T. Rowe Price Group met expectations on revenues and beat slightly on earnings per share.

  • [By Zacks]

    Riding on higher revenues, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: TROW) reported its fourth-quarter 2013 net income of $1.06 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2 cents. Moreover, this significantly outperformed the year-ago earnings of 88 cents.

  • source from USA Best Stocks:http://www.usabeststocks.com/top-5-international-stocks-to-buy-for-2015.html

Top 10 Regional Bank Companies To Buy For 2015

Top 10 Regional Bank Companies To Buy For 2015: Knoll Inc (KNL)

Knoll, Inc., incorporated on December 15, 1995, is a designer and manufacturer of workplace furnishings, textiles and fine leathers. The Company operates in three segments: Office, Studio and Coverings. The Office segment includes systems, seating, storage, tables, desks and KnollExtra ergonomic accessories, as well as the international sales of the Company's North American Office products. The Studio segment includes the Company's KnollStudio division, the Company's European subsidiaries, which primarily sell KnollStudio products, and Richard Schultz Design. The KnollStudio portfolio includes a range of lounge seating, side, cafe and dining chairs, barstools, and conference, dining and occasional tables. Richard Schultz Design provides outdoor furniture. The Coverings segment includes KnollTextiles, Spinneybeck (including Filzfelt), and Edelman Leather. In February 2014, Knoll Inc completed the acquisition of Holly Hunt Enterprises, Inc.

Office Segment

The Company's systems furniture consists principally of functionally integrated panels or table desks, work surfaces, pedestal and other storage units, power and data systems and lighting. The Company's systems furniture product lines include panel and desk-based planning models, which consists of Antenna Workspaces, Reff Profiles, AutoStrada, Dividends Horizon, Morrison, Equity and Currents. The Company's principal seating product lines include generation by Knoll, ReGeneration by Knoll, LIFE, RPM and Chadwick. Essentials Work Chairs' Pro, Tech, and Sport models offer a range of four task and two side chairs suitable to any office style from the traditional to the progressive. The Company's files and storage products, featuring the Template, Calibre and Series 2 product lines, are designed with features to maximize storage capabilities throughout the w! orkplace..

The Company's core files and storage products consist of lateral files, mobile pedest als and other storage units, bookcases and overhead storage ! cabinets.. The Company offers collections of adjustable tables, as well as meeting, conference, training, dining, and cafe tables for large scale projects and standalone desks and table desks. The Company's Interaction and Upstart product lines include adjustable, work, meeting, conference and training tables. These product lines range from independent tables to tables suitable for workstations that support individual preferences for computer and writing heights to plannable desks that can be linked together to build and reshape larger work areas. KnollExtra offers accessories that complement Knoll office furniture products, including technology support accessories, desktop organizational tools, lighting and storage.

Studio Segment

The KnollStudio portfolio includes a range of lounge seating; side, cafe and dining chairs, barstools, and conference, dining and occasional tables. The Company's studio segment includes the Knoll Europe businesses. Kno ll Europe provides products and services primarily to its European clients, whose aesthetics and styles can be different from its North America clients. A majority of Knoll Europe's business is Knoll Studio products, but Knoll Europe also offers a product profile that enables its customers to purchase a complete office environment. In addition, it offers certain products designed specifically for the European market. In Europe, the core product categories include KnollStudio, desk systems, including the Wa desking system, the KnollScope, and the PL1 system, seating, including a range of chairs, and storage units, which are designed to complement Knoll desk products. During 2012, it acquired Richard Schultz Design, Inc., a designer and manufacturer of outdoor furniture for the residential, hospitality, and contract office furniture markets.

Cover! ings Segme! nt

The Company's Coverings segment consists of KnollTextiles, Spinneybeck Leather (including Fil zfelt products), and Edelman Leather. KnollTextiles offers u! pholstery,! panel fabrics, wallcoverings and drapery that harmonize color, pattern and texture and offers products for corporate, hospitality, healthcare and residential interiors. KnollTextiles products are used in the manufacture of Knoll furniture and are sold to clients for use in other manufacturers' products. Spinneybeck Enterprises, Inc., (Spinneybeck), the Company's wholly owned subsidiary, offers leathers and related products, including leather rugs and wall panels. Spinneybeck supplies upholstery leather for use on Knoll furniture and for sale directly to clients, including other office furniture manufacturers, upholsterers, aviation, custom coach and boating manufacturers. Edelman Leather LLC, (Edelman) its wholly owned subsidiary, supplies fine leathers to residential, hospitality, aviation and contract office furniture markets. Edelman, offers a residential showroom network where designers and retail consumers can sample its products.

The Company competes with Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase, Inc., Haworth, Inc., HNI Corporation and Teknion Corporation.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Shares of HNI Corp. have gained 4.9% to $35.17 at 1:45 p.m., while Steelcase (SCS) has risen 0.8% to $16.93, Knoll (KNL) has advanced 2.5% to $18.74 and Herman Miller (MLHR) has ticked up 0.3% to $30.57.

  • [By John Udovich]

    Small cap office furniture stock Steelcase Inc (NYSE: SCS) jumped 11.66% after beating earnings expectations, meaning it might be time to take a closer look at the stock along with potential office or commercial furniture stock peers like HNI Corp (NYSE: HNI), Knoll Inc (NYSE: KNL) and Virco Mfg. Corporation (NASDAQ: VIRC). After all, the performance of any company selling office or commercial furniture would tend to give some insights into the ! office or! employment markets.

  • source from Top Stocks For 2015:http://www.topstocksblog.com/top-10-regional-bank-companies-to-buy-for-2015.html

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Capitalize on Surging Aluminum Demand Without the Commodity Risk

Constellium (NYSE: CSTM  ) is a downstream aluminum producer engaged in the design, manufacture, and sale of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products. The Netherlands-based company, which offers its products primarily to the aerospace, automotive, and packaging industries, is a world leader in the manufacturing of high-quality aluminum products and solutions.

Aluminum demand is expected to be strong in 2014. Top U.S. aluminum producer Alcoa (NYSE: AA  )  expects global demand growth of 7% and is projecting a deficit of 730,000 tons for the year. Alcoa expects the aerospace market to register the strongest growth in demand, followed by automotive. 

Constellium is making investments to meet demand in these sectors. The company offers investors one of the better ways to gain exposure to these fast-growing aluminum markets without the commodity risk.

Aerospace market
With backlogs at aircraft original equipment manufacturers, or OEMs, such as Boeing (NYSE: BA  ) and Airbus (NASDAQOTH: EADSY  ) at all-time highs, and with aluminum taking share on aircraft design, Constellium remains confident about the future of its aircraft business. Moreover, with 90% of this business under long-term contract, Constellium has a fair degree of insulation from economic uncertainty. 

Source: Company documents.

Robust demand for both large commercial aircraft and regional jets, along with continued growth in the business jet market, is driving strong aluminum demand in the aerospace sector. Constellium is the market leader in aerospace plate worldwide and is looking to continue to take share. 

Constellium expects total airplane deliveries to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 8% from 2012-2017. The company remains confident that its high-margin Airware technology will help it grow market share. Compared to traditional solutions, Airware generates higher EBITDA per ton and commands longer contracts with aircraft OEMs. The Dutch company argues that its technology is several years ahead of competitive offerings. 

Airware has already taken share from aluminum on current aircraft production, as demonstrated by the increase in contracted business for the product over the past 12 months. While the company is investing in capacity to meet contracted need, the demand could grow further over time. 

Airware is gaining contractors' attention due to its relatively lower density/weight advantage of 5% and superior corrosion resistance compared to traditional aluminum. Over the longer term, a redesign of planes using Airware could achieve weight savings of 25%. This is a significant opportunity for Constellium, as Airware is a higher-margin product, and the company is investing 70 million euros in casting capacity.

Source: Company Documents.

Automotive market
Constellium is also positioned to benefit from growing aluminum demand in the automotive market. The company forecasts the global aluminum body-in-white, or BIW, market to grow at 45% CAGR from 2012-2015 and 14% CAGR from 2015-2020.

Constellium expects the aluminum body structure market to grow at 10% per annum from 2015-2020, and the aluminum crash management system, or CMS, market to grow at 5% per annum over the same period. Automotive will be the fastest-growing market for Constellium, rising at 18% over the medium term.

Source: Company Documents.

The company is already investing to expand capacity and meet additional demand, including 200 million euros in Europe and additional capital in the U.S. to expand BIW capacity. To supply BIW sheet in North America, Constellium has entered into a joint venture with Japan's UACJ to build a BIW mill at Bowling Green, Ky., for a combined cost of $150 million. The facility will have an initial target capacity of 100,000 tons. 

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Source: Company Documents.

Packaging market
While the company's packaging business is not as exciting as aerospace and automotive, it remains an important base load and a generator of free cash flow even through economic ups and downs. Constellium has no plans to exit the business, despite its relatively lower margins.

Source: Company Documents.

Moreover, there are still significant growth opportunities in the international markets, particularly Europe. Unlike the U.S., many parts of the world are still meaningfully transitioning toward a purely aluminum can market. Constellium forecasts the European beverage market transitioning from roughly 78% aluminum today to 85% in 2016. The company currently has a 36% market share; it is well positioned to leverage a projected European can stock consumption increase to 955,000 tons in 2017 from 866,000 tons in 2012.

Source: Company Documents.

Foolish wrap-up
Constellium offers investors exposure to growing aerospace and automotive markets without the commodity risk. The company remains strongly positioned to benefit from growing aluminum demand in these markets and increased market penetration of its Airware product. While the packaging segment provides earnings visibility, it also has growth opportunities in the international markets, particularly Europe.

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Philly Inquirer minority owners win control

The ownership of Philadelphia's two largest newspapers changed hands again Tuesday after minority owners Lewis Katz and Gerry Lenfest emerged victorious in a bidding war against other owners.

In an auction held at a local law firm, Katz and Lenfest grabbed control of Interstate General Media Holdings -- the parent company that operates The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Daily News and Philly.com -- by agreeing to pay $88 million, including about $15 million in debt.

George E. Norcross, Joseph Buckelew and William Hankowsky – the other investors who joined to form a local investor group that bought the papers in 2012 for $55 million – initiated the bid with a $77 million offer but chose not to counter Katz and Lenfest's offer.

"Although we declined to submit a higher bid and will not purchase the shares of Interstate General Media owned by Messers. Katz and Lenfest, we are happy for the company's employees, readers and advertisers that this issue is now resolved," said a statement from the Norcross' group. "It is time to return the company's focus to journalism, and away from conflict among its owners."

Best Insurance Companies To Watch For 2015

The working relationship among the owners deteriorated quickly after the 2012 purchase as the two camps collided over their editorial philosophies and personnel issues. Katz, who emphasized investigative reporting over the hyper-local news approach favored by Norcross, filed a motion in January to dissolve the ownership structure and called for an auction to settle the matter.

The owners' infighting reached a boiling point last October, when the Inquirer's editor Bill Marimow, was fired by Publisher Bob Hall. Katz went to court to reverse the move, and a local judge reinstated Marimow.

While the fogginess surrounding ownership has cleared, the newspapers' financial challenges remain. Despite the owners' additional investments and ! several rounds of layoffs to cut cost, the newspapers, which hadn't been profitable for years, are still losing money.

In the decade before Katz, Norcross and others assumed control, the company's revenue had fallen from about $500 million to about $200 million. It went from generating $145 million in profit to losing as much as $50,000 a day, Norcross' group pointed out Tuesday.

"We always understood that no matter who won the auction, there was a great deal of work to be done. Now, with this chapter ended, we hope the company can return its focus to accomplishing that needed work," it said. "We wish Messrs. Katz and Lenfest the best of luck moving forward."

Monday, May 26, 2014

Fun and Affordable Family Vacation Ideas for Summer

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Family camping on sandy beach, California, USA Jim Arbogast/Getty ImagesCamping is one of the more inexpensive summer vacation options for families. With summer comes thoughts of travel: road trips and theme parks and visits to Grandma's house, camping and cruising and hanging out by the pool. The most organized of families, of course, have already made their summer vacation plans. But for those of us who haven't yet decided, or hyper-organized families who are already thinking about next year, we've got some excellent ideas. The good news is you don't have to be rich to enjoy a great family vacation. "A lot of people have in their mind that a family vacation has to cost a lot of money," says Jody Halsted, who shares travel tips at FamilyRambling.com and has been traveling with kids since the first of her two daughters was 3 months old. "It can cost a lot of money, but it doesn't have to." How much a family vacation costs depends on a lot of variables, starting with how long you plan to vacation and whether you will drive or fly. Choice of lodging also makes a big difference, as does what you plan to do and where you plan to eat. And, of course, it depends on where you start your trip. "If people are on a budget, they really should be looking at destinations they could drive to," says Suzanne Rowan Kelleher, the family vacations expert at About.com. A road trip can be a vacation in itself, not just a means to an end. Arm the kids with cameras and let them photograph the World's Largest Ball of Twine or the World's Largest Pistachio Nut, share their photos on social media and create collages when they return home. "A road trip is the perfect family vacation," says Tamela Rich, an author who spends much of her time on road trips. "It's not about going to a destination and forking over money. It's what you do on the way." She suggests letting older kids research and plan what to see and where to eat along the way. She likes the Roadside America (for Apple devices only) and History Here (for both Apple and Android devices) apps for finding unusual sights and historical markers. If your dates are flexible, you can save money. Hotels in large cities are often cheaper over the weekend, but a resort may offer better rates midweek. Extended-stay hotels or vacation rentals let you cook meals. Some chain hotels provide free breakfasts, and a picnic in the park is cheaper than lunch in a restaurant. "If you're eating out three meals a day, that's going to really add up," Kelleher says. Admission fees to theme parks, zoos and attractions can be costly. Check with local tourist offices and websites for destination-city deals and coupon books as well as information on free events. The Entertainment Book, which is significantly discounted now that it's the middle of the year, offers lots of two-for-one coupons for local attractions. Choosing a destination where lots of attractions are free, such was Washington, D.C., also cuts costs. And remember, kids are often happier when the trip is not completely jam-packed. "Sometimes the best thing for kids is to let them have their free time in a park or playground," Halsted says. Here are suggestions for fun family vacations at three budget points: $500, $1,000 and $5,000. All vacation costs are approximated for a family of four, two adults and two children, although prices vary considerably based on where you start and how you travel. $500 Family Vacation Camping. Halsted is planning a multigenerational trip with 16 relatives to a KOA campground in Eureka Springs, Arkansas, about an eight-hour drive from her home in Iowa. And not all camping requires pitching a tent. In addition to RV spots, KOA and other campgrounds offer cabins, yurts and even tree houses and a caboose for overnight lodging. Not only is it cheaper than staying in a motel, it's a more interesting experience, Rich says, with lots of activities for kids. "At night people aren't holed up," she says. "They're out. They're roasting marshmallows and whatever ... kids get to meet up with other kids. That really enhances the experience." State and national parks. You can visit state and national parks for the day or camp for the night, staying in tents, cabins or lodges. Ohio, for example, has five state parks that are mini-resorts with water sports, pools and lots of activities. They are offering a package with 20 percent off lodging and a $50 daily restaurant credit, Kelleher says. You can also enjoy an affordable vacation at a national park. "For $500, families can have an amazing vacation at any national park," says James Kaiser, who has written guidebooks to several U.S. national parks. He estimates the cost at $60 a day for a family, including the gasoline you'd use to get there. Water park resorts. Resort packages are a great option for families because they include lodging and admission to the water park. Look for these deals at major chain Great Wolf Lodge's parks and at many in Wisconsin Dells, Wisconsin, an area with a number of lodges plus freestanding water parks. If you live near one of those types of attractions, the family can stay a few days. Visiting relatives. Traveling to see relatives who live within driving distance means you don't pay for lodging and can eat at least some meals at home. Thanks to the free room and board, you've got money to explore the attractions in that city. $1,000 Family Vacation Cruise. A family cruise can be surprisingly affordable, especially if you don't have to fly to the port. Summer is the offseason for the Caribbean, so prices will be lower. But you can also get cruises from places besides Florida and Texas, including New York and Boston. Once you've paid your fare, all lodging, meals and activities are covered, and most cruise ships have baby-sitting and activities for the kids. Vacation rental. Want to spend a weekend hanging out at the beach or hiking in the mountains? Pick a destination that's interesting and affordable, and rent a house or apartment. Kelleher was impressed with Daytona Beach, Florida, which not only has pristine beaches but lots of fairly inexpensive things to do. At the Marine Science Center in Ponce Inlet, Florida, for example, admission is $5 for adults and $2 for children. Offseason resort. Resorts in Arizona, Colorado, Florida and other winter destinations offer rock-bottom deals in summer. Yes, it's hot in Arizona, but the resorts have great pools to cool down. While there's no snow in Colorado, there's still great hiking. $5,000 Family Vacation All-inclusive resort in the Caribbean and Mexico. This is the low season in the Caribbean, meaning rates are much more affordable, says Sally Black, a travel agent who publishes a VacationKids.com blog. Some resorts even offer "kids stay free and eat free" packages, as well as free child care. If you don't already have passports, expect to spend more than $100 per person for those. Disney World: Getting the best deal requires planning and knowing when to go, Black says. Prices are better in late summer than early summer, and Disney (DIS) is offering a free dining plan that starts at the end of August. All-inclusive U.S. resort. These include dude ranches and the Club Med properties that cater to families. Kelleher's family has gone for six years to Tyler Place Family Resort in Vermont, where everyone is assigned a bicycle on arrival. There are kids' activities by age group for babies to teens. Discounts are available early and late in the season at many resorts.

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Wall Street Bets on Bond Revival in Trader Hiring Spree

Wall Street firms are starting to bet on an end to the profit-eroding boredom in credit markets by building their trading desks.

Nomura Holdings Inc. (8604) has added 10 to its U.S. corporate debt team this year, an increase of about 10%, and plans to expand further, according to Michael Guarnieri, the bank’s global head of credit products in New York. The latest hires are high-yield debt traders Daniel Frommer and James Incognito, who joined this month.

Debt trading hasn’t been what it was before the 2008 crisis from a profit point of view for two main reasons: New rules have reduced the wagers banks can make with their own money, and near record-low yields are eroding returns. But with interest rates forecast to finally go up sometime soon, it’s poised to become more lucrative.

“Volatility and the so-called tail risks always sneak up on you and are always something you don’t think is coming,” Guarnieri said today in a phone interview. “We’re not blind to the fact that volumes are low, but we are investing over the long term.”

Others are trying the same tack. Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) just raised $11 billion in capital in part to bolster its debt-trading business, after earlier this month announcing four new members for its credit unit. Guggenheim Securities LLC this year hired a corporate-debt team from Lazard Capital Markets.

Trading Revenues

When the Federal Reserve starts raising benchmark rates as soon as next year, corporate-bond yields figure to move higher with them. The current 3.6% average yield on corporate debt is about 2 percentage points below the norm over the past decade, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data.

Here’s why more volatility may translate into bigger profits for banks: Investors will probably pull money from bond funds as prices fall, leading managers to sell securities to come up with the cash. In that scenario, brokers stand to earn bigger commissions because there’s usually greater risk -- and potential reward -- involved in an unstable market.

Credit’s not a bad place for securities firms to hire in the meantime, anyway, because traders give a boost to teams of investment bankers trying to nab bond offerings. Banks need to maintain groups of traders and salespeople if they want to win lucrative assignments shepherding company debt into the hands of insatiable investors.

Underwriting Fees

Underwriting corporate debt has been one of the bright spots on Wall Street, with firms earning about $10.6 billion to underwrite $1.5 trillion of the notes last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s up from $7.6 billion in 2011.

Nomura’s latest hires include Frommer, who joins as a managing director in high-yield trading and is formerly of UBS AG. (UBSN) He was registered at the Japanese bank as of May 12, Financial Industry Regulatory Authority records show. Incognito, a speculative-grade loan trader, began at Nomura as of May 19 after joining from BNP Paribas SA, according to the Finra records.

Credit trading may have lost some of its luster for the world’s biggest banks, but Wall Street is betting a bigger payday isn’t far away.

---

Check out Schwab Founder: Indexing Is Not Passive on ThinkAdvisor.

Saturday, May 24, 2014

How Fed Chair Janet Yellen's Plans Will Affect Your Bonds

Top 5 Quality Stocks To Own For 2015

Charles Dharapak/AP Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen said in earlly May that she expects to keep short-term borrowing rates low for a "considerable time." She's continuing to set a target of seeing healthy employment numbers and inflation around 2 percent before raising short-term rates above their nearly 0 percent levels. While short-term rates will remain low, long-term rates are another story. The Fed is continuing to taper -- to reduce its purchases of U.S. government bonds. The Fed is expected to hold its existing bond portfolio for quite some time. Still, as it stops purchasing new bonds, it takes a very deep-pocketed buyer out of that market. That creates conditions wherein long-term rates will be much more likely to rise. And with the Fed expected to complete its taper this year, long-term rates may rise soon. What This Means for You The chart below shows the history of 30-year Treasury bond interest rates for the past few decades. While nobody is expecting rates to skyrocket to their 15 percent peak, note that before the recent recession and the Fed's long-term bond-buying spree, rates were around 5 percent or so. It's reasonable to anticipate that absent the Fed's incremental buying pressure holding down long-term rates, those rates may revisit that 5 percent level once the Fed stops buying. stlouisfed.orgChart from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, as of May 17. With 30-year interest rates currently around 3.4 percent, that suggests long-term rates may rise as much as 1.5 percentage points or so over the next few months. In the grand scheme of things, that may not sound like much, but if you own long-term bonds, that kind of rise may be quite painful indeed. The Rate and Price Seesaw

Friday, May 23, 2014

Best Banks for Baby Boomers

Citizens Bank branch is pictured in Conway, New Hampshire AlamyCitizens Bank ranks the No. 1 financial institution among baby boomers. Each stage of life brings with it a unique set of challenges to overcome and benchmarks to hit -- and this is especially true when it comes to banking. Although financial institutions target millennials heavily, baby boomers (Americans born between 1946 and 1964) are still the most represented generation among today's banking customers. A December Gallup poll revealed that 89 percent of baby boomers have at least one checking, savings or money market account. With more than 75 million baby boomers in the United States, there's a greater demand for financial institutions that cater to the boomer lifestyle. 3 Things Baby Boomers Need Most From Banks The youngest baby boomers have reached seniority in the labor force, while the oldest members of this generation have entered retirement. Both ends of the spectrum have vastly different circumstances when it comes to income, but no matter their age, boomers have three main banking needs. 1. Customer Service. Customer service comes in many forms, whether from an in-person associate at a brick-and-mortar branch or an attendant at a small kiosk in a local grocery store. Boomers have grown up with institutions that rely on real-life, person-to-person transactions that allow them to talk through terms and conditions and have questions addressed. Physical bank branches are necessary in order to fulfill this service expectation. As more financial institutions have turned to online and mobile banking, some baby boomers who are slow to adapt to banking technology have been isolated as a result. 2. Retirement Planning. With the average life span in the U.S. expanding each year, and so many baby boomers on the road to retirement, the need for retirement planning resources becomes more and more pressing for many banking customers. "In my experience, the most stressful situation that baby boomers encounter is the fear of running out of money during retirement," says Jonathan Duong, a certified financial planner and president of the wealth management firm Wealth Engineers. "Although most baby boomers have several sources of retirement income, ranging from Social Security and pensions to their own retirement savings, many of them lack a true financial plan to help them understand how much they can spend in retirement," Duong says. "Not having a plan often leads to one of two negative outcomes: 1. The retiree lives a substandard retirement -- below what his or her income and savings can actually support -- due to the fear of running out of money. Or 2. The retiree overspends and then runs into the significant risk of outliving their savings." In addition to staying on top of income during retirement, boomers need the assistance of a financial adviser to understand the kinds of expenses that could become more costly over time, like health care. This awareness can mean the difference between boomers being financially unprepared in the next stage of their life or living a comfortable lifestyle after leaving the workforce. 3. Convenience. While baby boomers are seen as traditionalists when compared to Generation Y (those in their 20s and early 30s), the two generations have something in common -- they both want convenience. A 2013 Gallup poll found that 71 percent of boomers use online banking services at least weekly -- right in line with Generation X (70 percent) and Generation Y (72 percent). Millennials might be quick to adopt new technology, like mobile banking, but there are more tech-savvy boomers surfing the Web for their banking needs than previously thought. Efficiency and convenience play a major role in baby boomer satisfaction, which makes banking services like online banking and electronic bill pay appealing. 10 Best Financial Institutions for Baby Boomers Not all financial institutions are focused on the welfare of transitioning boomers, but there are a number of banks that still offer comprehensive services to this substantial population of customers. Based on specialty retirement and financial planning services, products and resources, accessibility and customer service, GOBankingRates identified the 10 best banks for baby boomers in 2014: 1. Citizens Bank -- Providence, Rhode Island 2. Frost Bank -- San Antonio, Texas (CFR) 3. Arvest Bank -- Lowell, Arkansas 4. BB&T -- Winston-Salem, North Carolina (BBT) 5. TD Bank -- Cherry Hill, New Jersey (TD) 6. Bangor Savings Bank -- Bangor, Maine 7. Huntington Bank -- Columbus, Ohio (HBAN) 8. Wells Fargo -- San Francisco (WFC) 9. USAA -- San Antonio, Texas 10. American Savings Bank -- Honolulu, Hawaii .

Thursday, May 22, 2014

Top Portfolio Products: New China Small-Cap ETF

New products and changes introduced over the last week include a new China small-cap ETF from Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management, and Manning & Napier launched a new microsite for advisors.

Here are the latest developments of interest to advisors:

1) DeAWM Launches China Small-Cap ETF

Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (DeAWM) has announced the launch of the db X-trackers Harvest CSI 500 China A-Shares Small Cap Fund (ASHS), which provides investors with direct access to small-cap China A-shares equities. DeAWM has partnered with subadvisor Harvest Global Investments Limited to launch this product, which has an expense ratio of 0.82%.

ASHS will seek to track the CSI 500 Index, which holds 500 small-cap companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. To be considered for inclusion in the index, securities must meet minimum liquidity requirements.

2) Manning & Napier Launch Microsite on Fiduciary Risk for Advisors

Manning & Napier has announced the launch of its new microsite on fiduciary risk for advisors, which addresses the concern among plan fiduciaries concerning plan failure risk (PFR)—an increasing concern because of previous siloing of health and wealth benefits. The site can assist advisors to help plan sponsors develop a coordinated strategy that incorporates both retirement and health care objectives, in order to drive positive outcomes and avoid plan failure risk.

Top US Companies To Buy Right Now

The microsite’s interactive prioritizer tool will help plan sponsors begin to set a short- and a long-term objective. In using the prioritizer, plan sponsors receive a report that will help them to define an effective, actionable benefits strategy for their business. A short video on the microsite explains the key components of avoiding PFR in simple terms: careful evaluation of benefits program offerings, knowing what an organization is able to spend on benefits, and clearly defining near and long-term objectives. The infographic also includes a comprehensive timeline of the evolution of employee benefits, and how health care and retirement have converged.

Read the May 16 Portfolio Products Roundup at ThinkAdvisor.

 

Wednesday, May 21, 2014

How To Get Excellent Leverage With Capped Risk, Using Nadex Spreads

There are three basic things necessary for making money in trading: low risk, increased leverage and more time for the market to move favorably.

Nadex spreads provide all three. With reduced risk, investors don't lose as much money. When reduced risk is combined with an increase in leverage, investors have more control of their "money making money." Compared to most instruments, Nadex contracts (including Nadex spreads) have the best leverage. Also, risk on Nadex spreads is capped and defined up front. There are no margin calls, or risk of unlimited loss, due to skipping over a stop.

Related: Ticks And Pips And Cents, Oh My! Nadex Makes It Easy To Trade Forex And Futures

Margin and leverage vary, meanwhile, depending on strategy and instrument. To trade a Nadex spread, traders only need to have sufficient funds in their accounts to cover the maximum possible loss. Traders can never lose more than the predetermined amount. Whereas if a trader uses margin on securities, they are borrowing money from the broker, and are therefore paying interest to the broker on the margined/borrowed funds.

For example, if a trader has $10,000 in their account and puts up $5,000 in margin, then they are borrowing $5,000 and will eventually pay interest on that.

Many people, without even knowing it, have what is called a Reg-T Margin account. With this kind of margin, if a trade costs $100 the trader only has to put up $50, but the risk is still $100. If a trader goes into the negative, then the account manager will make a margin call and the trader has to deposit the negative amount. Margins can be raised at any time and can change in the middle of the day. If a trader doesn't have the money for the margin call, they can be shut out of a position right away.

Related: What Is A Nadex Spread?

Traders can access a day trading account if they have $25,000 or a portfolio margining account with $125,000 for really high leverage. There are also margins on futures, which all have unlimited risk down to zero for long positions, and infinite risk for short positions.

With Nadex spreads, traders only need $100 to start, and only need to cover the maximum potential risk when opening a position. There is no minimum account balance either.

Below is a comparison showing the details of a EUR/USD day trade using different instruments. In the far right column are the details for trading using a Nadex spread.  

To view image click HERE

11image1.png

*Margin on ETFs, Futures, and Options may vary by broker and capital in an account. Margin is always the same on Nadex Spreads. The above is for illustration purposes only and is not all encompassing of all variables.

This is an example of equalized position sizing, to show leveraging examples and where money can be most effectively used. Looking at the day trading margin row, there are differing amounts of money required to trade the position. For FXE and an ETF, a trader needs around $35,000 providing a minimal 4:1 leverage. For Spot FX, a trader needs around $3,000, providing a little better 50:1

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Top Gas Utility Stocks To Watch For 2015

Top Gas Utility Stocks To Watch For 2015: Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT)

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (the Trust), incorporated in 1980, is an express trust. The Trust's principal assets are net overriding royalties conveyed to the Trust, including a 75% net overriding royalty carved out of Southland Royalty's fee mineral interests in the Waddell Ranch in Crane County, Texas (the Waddell Ranch properties), and a 95% net overriding royalty carved out of Southland Royalty's major producing royalty interests in Texas (the Texas Royalty properties). Bank of America, N.A. is the Trustee for the Trust.

Waddell Ranch Properties

The mineral interests in the Waddell Ranch, from which such net royalty interests are carved, vary from 37.5% (Trust net interest) to 50% (Trust net interest) in 78,715 gross (34,205 net) producing acres. A majority of the proved reserves are attributable to six fields: Dune, Sand Hills (Judkins), Sand Hills (McKnight), Sand Hills (Tubb), University-Waddell (Devonian) and Waddell. At December 31, 20 12, the Waddell Ranch properties contained 889 gross (400 net) productive oil wells, 64 gross (30 net) productive gas wells and 177 gross (506 net) injection wells.

Burlington Oil & Gas Company LP (BROG) is the operator of the Waddell Ranch properties. As of December 31, 2012, six major fields on the Waddell Ranch properties account for more than 80% of the total production. In the six fields, there are 12 producing zones ranging in depth from 2,800 to 10,600 feet. Most prolific of these zones are the Grayburg and San Andres, which produce from depths between 2,800 and 3,400 feet. Also productive from the San Andres are the Sand Hills (Judkins) gas field and the Sand Hills (McKnight) oil field, the Dune (Grayburg/San Andres) oil field, and the Waddell (Grayburg/San Andres) oil field.

The Dune and Waddell oil fields are productive fr! om both the Grayburg and San Andres formations. The Sand Hills (Tubb) oil fields produce from the Tubb formation at d epths averaging 4,300 feet, and the University Waddell (Devo! nian) oil field is productive from the Devonian formation between 8,400 and 9,200 feet. The Waddell Ranch properties are producing properties, and all of the major oil fields are being waterflooded for the purpose of facilitating enhanced recovery. As of December 31, 2012, there were no drill wells and 13 workovers in progress on the Waddell Ranch properties.

Texas Royalty Properties

The Texas Royalty properties consist of royalty interests in mature producing oil fields, such as Yates, Wasson, Sand Hills, East Texas, Kelly-Snyder, Panhandle Regular, N. Cowden, Todd, Keystone, Kermit, McElroy, Howard-Glasscock, Seminole and others located in 33 counties across Texas. The Texas Royalty properties consist of approximately 125 separate royalty interests containing approximately 303,000 gross (approximately 51,000 net) producing acres.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lawrence Meyers]

    Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT) is a royalty trust, meaning it pools together royalty rights for various energy-producing properties.  I prefer trusts that are widely diversified.  In this case, Permian holds a 75% net overriding royalty interest in six properties in Crane County, Texas; and a 95% net overriding royalty interest in fields spread across 33 other counties in Texas.  In total, we're talking 400 oil wells, 30 gas wells, and 500 injection wells.  That's plenty diversified.  Yeehaw for its 8.3% yield!

  • [By Rick Munarriz]

    Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: PBT  ) is also flowing more freely with its distributions. The trust's new rate of $0.088488 per unit may seem to be a numerical stretch, but it's a healthy 45% pop from its prior monthly payout. Increased oil production and higher oil prices helped the company generate more money that it pass! es on to ! its investors.

  • source from Top Stocks Blog:http://www.topstocksblog.com/top-gas-utility-stocks-to-watch-for-2015.html

Monday, May 19, 2014

Feeble Growth Fuels Bond Rally

Top 5 Quality Stocks To Own For 2015

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This week’s big news in the financial markets is the collapse of bond yields amid concerns about growth and deflation here and particularly in Europe.

As 2014 started, long-term interest rates were widely expected to keep climbing from their early 2013 lows. But rates have fallen because anticipated faster economic growth hasn’t come to pass and inflation remains very low, even after several years of monetary stimulus.

Global bond rates dropped to their lowest levels of the year this week. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury issue tumbled to below 2.5 percent, a six-month bottom. The yield started the year at 3 percent. In Germany, the yield decline has been even sharper, with the 10-year bund in a freefall from 1.9 percent to 1.3 percent, the lowest in a year. The depressed yields in Germany, Japan (0.6 percent for the 10-year issue) and other nations serve to increase investor demand for higher-yield Treasury securities.

Despite bond markets’ pessimistic messages about growth and deflation, stocks reflect optimism. True, they fell sharply yesterday. But the Standard & Poor’s 500 touched 1900, yet another all-time high, this week. And the Stoxx Europe 600, the benchmark European stock index, reached a six-year peak.

Yesterday, we heard that the euro zone’s economy grew 0.2 percent in the first quarter. While it was the fourth straight quarter of expansion, it was just half the 0.4 percent growth that was expected. That 0.2 percent translates to an annualized 0.8 percent.

Germany grew a solid 0.8 percent from the previous quarter, its best performance in three years. Spain grew 0.4 percent. But France’s economy was flat, Italy’s contracted 0.1 percent and the Netherlands posted a sharp 1.4 percent drop.

I! n addition, euro zone inflation, at an annual 0.7 percent, remains far below the European Central Bank’s target rate of 1.95 percent. And unemployment, at 11.8 percent, is only slightly below the 12 percent peak of a year ago.

As you may recall, growth in the U.S. economy fared even worse in this year’s first three months, inching ahead at a 0.1 percent annual rate. The weakness was blamed primarily on bad weather and weak export numbers.

Our economy is supposed to improve in the current quarter. This week brought more evidence of improvement in the job market and somewhat higher inflation, but also weakness in retail sales and housing. Time will tell.

You may also remember the popular theory that the extremely aggressive monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and other central banks would inevitably lead to soaring inflation, sky-high bond yields and the collapse of the dollar. None of these have occurred, although the greenback is hardly robust.

“Lowflation,” as it’s often called in Europe, makes it harder to repay debt, of which there’s an abundance there (and here). Paradoxically, it’s a reason for the strength of the euro currency, which makes European exporters less competitive in the global economy because it increases their costs. And stagnant or falling prices tend to cause people to hoard cash and reduce spending.

Despite Europe’s woes, Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, seems willing to rely primarily on talk instead of action. His point of view may be understandable. After all, his now-famous July 2012 pledge to do “whatever it takes” to save the euro has been credited with reversing the downward spiral of Europe’s debt crisis without the ECB having to take aggressive action.

“The governing council is comfortable with acting next time,” Draghi said last week, after the ECB’s decision to do nothing. The ECB is scheduled to meet again in June. &! #8220;Bef! ore, we want to see the staff projections that will come out in early June,” Draghi added.

But the decision to not act now isn’t a positive development when it’s clear that growth and inflation are unacceptably low. It’s hard to see how the “staff projections” could be much better than the recent numbers.

Even Germany’s central bank, which long has resisted further stimulus, is now willing to support new ECB measures, reports say.

Unlike in 2012, when tough talk was enough, Draghi will have to take action in June or lose his credibility and risk a market meltdown. Naturally, the prospect that the ECB will have to act in June is another reason for investors to buy bonds.

ECB actions could take various forms. One is quantitative easing, which is to buy bonds or other assets as a way to pump euros into the financial system. Another is to start charging banks to leave money at the central bank, which theoretically would give them greater incentive to lend the money out instead.

Expansionary monetary policies typically weaken a currency by adding more money to the economy. The ECB wants a weaker euro. Before Draghi’s comments last week, the euro hit $1.3995 vs. the dollar, its highest level since October 2011. The euro has weakened since then.

With today’s low government bond yields, common stocks, master limited partnerships, real estate investment trusts and preferred stocks are increasingly attractive.

Currently, some 150 stocks in the S&P 500 carry yields that are higher than the 10-year Treasury issue’s 2.5 percent. Most of the companies will boost their payouts and generate rising earnings over time. A bond cannot do that.


Saturday, May 17, 2014

1 Interesting Reason Facebook Is Set to Grow

This article is a bit forward thinking, but there could potentially be some positive aspect to the recent news about Facebook (FB), and I'll try and explain why I think so.

About two or three years ago in a city that I was temporarily living in, I used to walk to the train station and pass a house where, in a living room, there were about six kids sitting together with laptops every day. There was a giant white board up in the background and it was clear that the living room space they were working out of had been converted to a semi-office. One day, without notice and curious as to what was going on, I randomly walked in.

After asking, they told me that they were a very young startup company who was working on an iPhone app together. I introduced myself to the "boss" and told him that I had a lot of VC connections and that I'd be interested to hear his story. So, he gave me a pitch on the company's app. The sole purpose of the app? To be able to shuffle money around among you and your friends easily. He pitched me on a situation where four friends go to a restaurant and don't feel like divvying up a bill that one guy pays. They then use their accounts to do the math and transfer the appropriate funds to one another with one or two quick clicks, and everyone (including the restaurant) saves time.

Sure, companies like PayPal have looked at online money transfer to corporations and shops, but this was the first time I had heard of something being used on solely a local platform, person to person. Think of all the ways you transfer bits of money to people: parents giving kids allowances, tipping a doorman in the city, paying for a friend's coffee. All of these aren't PayPal-esque in size, but haven't been explored in depth yet by app makers.

Square and Bitcoin have kind of touched on the conveniences of having a mobile wallet, and it's definitely a niche that I think is still in the very early stages of its adoption curve. Thus, when I found out that Facebook was focusing on it, I liked the idea.

It was reported this last month:

Facebook is close to receiving approval from Ireland's central bank to become an "e-money" institution that would enable users to store money on the social network and use it to pay and exchange money with other members, the FT reports. The move would help Facebook boost its presence in emerging markets, as it would provide remittance services in which migrant workers send money home to their families. Facebook has also discussed possible partnerships with TransferWise, Moni Technologies and Azimo, startups that enable online money transfer services. Facebook has a leg up to jump into this niche, as well, for several reasons.

First, Facebook is already a semi-reliable name. We know they're a billion dollar company and that they are established, so the security issue is much smaller with consumers than it would be with a brand new app.

Second, Facebook already has its customer base. It doesn't need to go out and market the app, because people already have it.

Third, the projected growth in the global mobile wallet market is enormous. It's exactly the kind of growth a company like Facebook needs to get out in front of. Zuckerberg may be rich, and he may be getting a bit older, but it still seems that he continues to know what's "trending."

Additionally, I would be wary of companies like Western Union (WU) who specialize in person-to-person money transfer, should it not start to adapt to the way in which this industry could continue to shape.

Though certainly not for a short-term gamble on Facebook, I believe this niche could definitely help Facebook continue its aggressive long-term growth and that the company is on stable footing as an investment for the long term. I'll be watching closely to see what develops with Facebook and the mobile wallet market.

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Friday, May 16, 2014

Goldman Sachs Really, Really Likes Kinder Morgan

The market is getting hammered today. Shares of Kinder Morgan (KMI), however, have bucked the trend thanks to a positive report from Goldman Sachs.

Reuters

Goldman Sachs analyst Theodore Durbin and team explain why they added Kinder Morgan to their Conviction Buy List:

After a large wave of long-haul natural gas pipeline construction across North America in the 2007-2011 timeframe, construction has slowed significantly over the last several years. We believe the midstream industry is now entering a new wave of long-haul natural gas infrastructure investment focused on supply and demand opportunities, including Appalachia takeaway, gas-fired power generation, LNG, and Mexico exports. As the largest gas pipeline operator in North America, we expect Kinder Morgan will win multiple growth projects in coming years. Kinder has identified $15bn of potential natural gas growth projects, of which only $2.7bn is in its current backlog as of its late January analyst day, and we therefore see large potential upside to its organic growth capital spending in gas alone.

Kinder also provides well diversified, highly stable, fee-based cash flows and solid 8-10% annual dividend growth. We believe shares are attractively valued on an absolute basis, and relative to peer midstream C-corps.

Shares of Kinder Morgan have gained 0.9% at 3:02 p.m. today, while Kinder Morgan Partners (KMP) has risen 0.6% to $75.42.

Barron’s, by the way, is not a fan of Kinder Morgan.

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Tests show GM recall cars safe to drive with key…

WASHINGTON — General Motors conducted more than 100 vehicle tests on four of some 2.6 million recalled vehicles to determine they are safe to drive with nothing attached to the key ring, the company said in documents posted by a the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.

NHTSA released the safety report from GM, which said it conducted the tests over various road services and in other conditions in an attempt to make sure keys don't inadvertently get jostled out of position, shutting off the engine.

GM has resisted calls to ask drivers to park the Chevrolet Cobalts, Saturn Ions and other vehicles in the wake of a ignition switch recall that began in February. The company has come under fire for missing or ignoring warning signs that keys could inadvertently move out of position, disabling power brakes, steering and potentially causing air bags not to deploy in the event of a crash.

So far 13 deaths and 32 crashes have been linked to the defect which led to the recall.

U.S. Sens. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., and Ed Markey, D-Mass., have been pressing federal officials to encourage GM to park the vehicles. But Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx said last week NHTSA was satisfied that the "safety risk posed by the defect in affected vehicles is sufficiently mitigated" if drivers take GM's advice.

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That advice is to drive with the key alone in the ignition of with all additional weight removed from the key ring -- even the remote fob. In the report posted on the NHTSA's website, GM said it tested four recalled vehicles at its proving ground in Milford. In more than 100 tests with nothing attached to the key or an empty key ring, there were no instances of the key moving in the ignition.

The test vehicles included a 2005 Cobalt, a 2007 Ion, a 2008 Chevrolet HHR and a 2006 Pontiac Solstice, and the vehicles were driven over rough s! urfaces including granite road blocks and stones, rumble strips, simulated potholes, and a 4-inch tall wooden median at various speeds. There were also tests involving sudden braking, and ones where the plungers in the ignition switch which help keep the key in position were removed.

While the tests showed the key did move from "run" to "accessory" in some cases where there was more weight attached to the key ring, they did not shift when there was no weight on the ring other than the vehicle key.

Initially, it was reported that GM had done more than 80 tests showing no incidents of unintended key rotation, but the company then did an additional 16 tests with the ignition switch detent plunger and spring removed. The test results still showed no cases where the key moved by itself under adverse road conditions with little or no weight on the key.

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Debunking the Yahoo Tracking Stock Myth

Alibaba has now filed its F-1 document which is the precursor to an IPO probably later this summer.

Several talking heads on television and journalists in articles have declared that the fact that the Alibaba IPO is happening soon means that the honeymoon period for Yahoo Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer is over.  Now, they say, Marissa and Yahoo's core business will have to stand on their own two feet.

There is a line of thought that Yahoo has merely been a tracking stock for Alibaba over the past 2 years. Now, with the IPO on the horizon, these people say, any investor who previously bought Yahoo stock just to own a piece of Alibaba will now sell that stock in order to free up capital to buy the newly public Alibaba stock directly.

So, let's address this issue with some data.  Although every case is different, a prior situation where a big tech company was seen as a tracking stock for another entity in which it held a large stake was EMC EMC back a few years when it owned VMWare VMWare.  It started trading as a separate company on August 14, 2007.  Prior to that, VMWare was owned entirely by EMC.

Marissa Mayer Marissa Mayer (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

If the pundits' thesis is correct, you should have seen selling in EMC shares leading up to the VMWare IPO as institutional investors looked to trade out of EMC stock so they could be at the ready to get their orders in to buy VMWare stock.

Let's go to the videotape.

It turns out that in the 3 months prior to the VMWare IPO, EMC's stock went up – and not just a little.  EMC's stock increase 15.6% in those 3 months.  During that same period, the Nasdaq composite was down 0.7%.

Perhaps once the VMWare stock started trading the IPO aftermarket, EMC's stock took a dive.  Not so.  In the three months after the VMWare IPO in 2007, EMC's stock increased another 12.4%.  And the Nasdaq again lagged, increasing only 3.2% over the same period.  However, VMware did do better than either.  Its stock popped 58% in the 3 months after the IPO.

So, EMC's stock certainly didn't see a trading out phenomenon, either in anticipation of the VMware IPO or afterwards.

How about a more recent example: the Facebook IPO from 2012.  In early February 2012, Facebook filed its S-1 to hold its IPO – one that was hotly anticipated by the market.  According to the view that you have to sell one stock in order to buy another way of thinking, you would expect to see Google's stock price flag in the weeks leading up to the Facebook IPO.  However, that didn't happen.

From early February 2012 until about mid-June – which was well after the mid-May Facebook IPO – Google's stock traded in line with the Nasdaq index.  It wasn't higher or lower.

Then, starting in mid-June, a month after Facebook had been trading (and trading badly), Google did experience a big upswing in pricing relative to both Facebook and Nasdaq.  It appears that people did pass judgment on Facebook's business that it wasn't quite as revolutionary as everyone first thought.  They seemed to then gravitate back to Google as the leader in the mobile and desktop ad space.  But Google never suffered in anticipation of the Facebook IPO.

The bottom line is that investors will judge Yahoo on its own merits before and after the Alibaba IPO.  And, contrary to a lot of commentary, Alibaba's valuation will continue to swing Yahoo's stock price quite a bit post-IPO.  That's because Yahoo will continue to own 14% of Alibaba.  If Alibaba's stock trades up to $260 billion in market cap as some sell-side analysts have suggested, Yahoo's stake will be worth $22.6 billion net of any future taxes Yahoo might have to pay – that's two-thirds of the current Yahoo valuation of $34 billion.

So you can expect to see Alibaba's valuation swing a big part of Yahoo's stock for the forseeable future even after the big IPO date comes.

[Long YHOO]

Sunday, May 11, 2014

Why Clean Energy Fuels, Universal Display, and Nuverra Environmental Solutions Jumped Today

Stocks finished the week on the plus side, as the Dow hit a new high, and the broader market held its own against more bearish investors who are arguing more forcefully that the long bull market has to come to an end at some point. Several stocks helped to build some excitement for market participants, and Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE  ) , Universal Display (NASDAQ: OLED  ) , and Nuverra Environmental Solutions (NYSE: NES  ) were among the best-performing stocks in the market Friday.

Source: Clean Energy Fuels.

Clean Energy Fuels jumped 12% as the natural-gas fueling station network operator reported much better conditions in its business than investors had expected. A 24% jump in gallons delivered helped reverse sluggishness in earlier quarters, and even though gains in dollar-value revenue were limited, adjusted sales soared 43% once you take out one-time items from the previous year. The expiration of crucial tax credits had a big impact on Clean Energy Fuels' income statement, reversing a year-ago profit, and raising questions about whether the company can get back to break-even levels quickly. For now, though, investors seem satisfied with Clean Energy Fuels' strategy to emphasize rising volume and station expansion.

OLED TV. Source: LG Display.

Universal Display climbed 15% after the maker of organic light-emitting diode technology saw its quarterly sales soar by more than 150%, helping to produce not just a profitable quarter, but a profit that tripled what investors had expected to see. Favorable guidance also gave investors a boost in optimism, suggesting that it would finish the year near the upper end of its sales estimates. More importantly, Universal Display dispelled some competitive concerns that shareholders had, and even though the future is still uncertain as to when the company will start benefiting more from ramped-up production of OLED televisions, Universal Display has shown its ability to live to fight another day.

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Nuverra Environmental Solutions gained 10% after investors saw the energy-wastewater treatment specialist's quarterly report. Nuverra's revenue fell 2.4%, although almost 20% of that figure was attributable to the company's Thermo Fluids unit, which the company is in the process of selling to VeroLube. Despite a drop of about one-third in adjusted EBITDA, investors appeared to accept Nuverra's explanation of the poor winter weather conditions and problems with a major customer's drilling operations that weighed temporarily on earnings. With CEO Mark Johnsrud citing increasing amounts of capital spending for exploration and production activity now that the winter months have ended, Nuverra has a greater opportunity to capitalize on the need for water and wastewater treatment services, and that could bolster growth as long as the energy boom lasts.

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Friday, May 9, 2014

2 Key Items to Consider in Alt Manager Selection

Adam PattiNot all long/short strategies (or managers) are created equal, something about which Adam Patti doesn’t mince words.

“Every long-only manager is rolling out their long/short strategy,” the chief executive officer of IndexIQ told ThinkAdvisor on Tuesday. “Something like 80% or 85% of long-only managers underperform, but now we’re supposed to believe they’ll somehow outperform with a more complicated long/short strategy? I don’t think so.”

Patti (above) pointed to two areas, in particular, that are a key to success in the space.

“The first in transparency, something liquid alternatives afford,” Patti explained. “It’s the entire reason we launched the firm in 2006 which, I should add, was at a time when no one was talking about alternatives.”

In a few short years, he added, liquid alternatives have gone from a novelty to playing an important role in a diversified investment portfolio and the firm has seen strong interest in alternative from the institutional and retail advisor channels.  

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The second, he noted, is track record. The IndexIQ IQ Alpha Hedge Strategy Fund (IQHIX) marked its five-year anniversary on June 30, which the firm claims was the first such fund to market.

As for the recent poor performance of managed futures and similar strategies, Patti said it is all a question of education.

“Any type of hedged strategy is going to drag in up-markets,” he argued. “Hedge strategies include the term ‘hedge,’ it’s what they do. They provide low correlation and reduced volatility. You give up performance on the upside to protect against the downside, something advisors are looking for.”

The strategies most in demand, Patti said, are fixed income substitutes.

“It’s a story we’ve been telling for the past 18 months, which is what happens to fixed-income exposures in rising interest rate environments. We’re starting to see that happen now. As fixed income performance crumbles, we’ve performed well.”

He also pointed to the firm’s merger arbitrage strategy.

“Everyone had noted the trillion of dollars sitting on the sidelines in the past few years,” he concluded. “Now corporate managers are starting to make moves again, and we’re well-positioned for it to happen.” 

Thursday, May 8, 2014

5 Short-Squeeze Stocks Poised to Pop

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BALTIMORE (Stockpickr) -- Buy and hold hasn't worked out very well in 2014. Since the calendar flipped to January, the big S&P 500 index has moved all of 1%. That's hardly the kind of breakneck pace that stocks kept up last year, and it's spurring short sellers in a big way.

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In fact, short interest for U.S. stocks moved up to the highest levels since 2009.

That means that big bets are in place that stocks are set to fall. But the S&P's essentially flat price action hasn't been a gift to short sellers either in 2014. In fact, it's actually been a much worse grind in many cases, considering the carrying costs involved in being short. So with short selling in U.S. stocks tipping the scales, it's the bulls that have the big opportunity here.

How big? Over the last decade, buying the most hated and heavily shorted large- and mid-cap stocks (the top two quartiles of all shortable stocks by market capitalization) would have beaten the S&P 500 by 9.28% each and every year.

That's some material outperformance during a decade when decent returns were very hard to come by. So, how do you cash in this month?

>>Must-See Charts: Fight the Selling With These 5 Trades

When I say that investors "hate" a stock, I'm talking about its short interest. A stock with a high level of shorting indicates that there are a lot of people willing to bet on a decline in its share price – and not many willing to buy. Too much hate can spur a short squeeze, a buying frenzy that's triggered by short sellers who need to cover their losing bets. And with the S&P 500 within grabbing distance of all-time highs, you can probably guess that there are lots of losing open short bets feeling the squeeze right now.

One of the best indicators of just how high a short-squeezed stock could go is the short interest ratio, which estimates the number of days it would take for short-sellers to cover their positions. The higher the short ratio, the higher the potential profits when the shorts get squeezed.

It's worth noting, though, that market cap matters a lot. Short sellers tend to be right about smaller names, with micro-caps delivering negative returns when the same method was used.

>>Short These 5 Big Toxic Stocks in May

Today, we'll replicate the most lucrative side of this strategy with a look at five big-name stocks that short sellers are piled into right now. These stocks could be prime candidates for a short squeeze in the months ahead.

Sysco

First up is food service supplier Sysco (SYY), a $21 billion name that weighs in as the largest commercial food distributor in North America. Even if you're not familiar with the Sysco name, there's a good chance you've eaten its offerings. That's because Sysco makes the food served at more than 400,000 restaurants, hotels and institutional dining facilities around the globe.

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And Sysco's only getting bigger. A planned $8.2 billion merger with US Foods would increase the combined firm's sales to more than $65 billion each year.

Food distribution is all about the tradeoff between cost and quality: too pricey, and restaurants can't afford to stock their kitchens; too low-quality, and restaurants lose with patrons. Sysco's size enables it to strike the balance very well with a more effective supply chain than smaller peers. By relying on a distributor like Sysco, restaurants get a one-stop vendor for their ingredients, and a resource for add-on services like menu analysis that can save costs.

Historically, SYY has focused on growth by acquisition (much like the U.S. Foods deal), and while that's resulted in some balance sheet leverage ($3 billion and change at last count), it's a debt level that's more than tenable given SYY's cash generation abilities. Short sellers aren't hearing any of it, though. At last count, Sysco's short interest ratio stood at 10.17, indicating that it would take more than two weeks of buying pressure for shorts to exit their bets at current volume levels.

M&T Bank

$15 billion regional bank M&T Bank (MTB) has been enjoying a good run since the start of February. In those last three months, shares of the firm have rallied 9.25%, providing much chagrin for short sellers this year. Considering the fact that the rest of the banking sector has only risen 3.2% over that stretch, M&T is pretty high up on the leaderboard.

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And shorts hate it. With a short interest ratio of 14.57, it would take close to three weeks of buying for shorts to cover their bets against MTB.

M&T bank may be a "regional" name, but it's a big one -- the firm's positioning in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic makes it one of the 30 biggest banks in the U.S. All told, the firm's 750 branches reach from upstate New York to central Florida.

In a time when the sins of 2008 are still coming back to haunt the big four banks, the relatively cleaner slate of regional banks still looks attractive. By actually sticking to retail and commercial banking in the fat years leading up to the real estate crash, M&T had the stronger underwriting standards it needed to make it though the lean years. While a regulatory edict to improve risk management has got short sellers salivating, the opportunity is overblown, especially considering the wider margins and cheaper valuation that MTB sports relative to its "big four" peers.

Look for earnings on July 14 as a potential catalyst for a move higher.

Fastenal

There's no two ways about it: Short sellers hate Fastenal (FAST) right now.

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The $14 billion industrial distributor has sported a perennially high short interest ratio for the last five years, a stretch over which it's managed to return gains of 158% to investors. For comparison, that's 43% better than investors would have done by buying the S&P 500. So now, with a short-interest ratio of 10.26, Fastenal should continue to be a prime short squeeze candidate.

FAST is an industrial supply company with more than 2,400 retail locations spread across the country. Yes, industrial supply may be a bit on the boring side, but stair-step revenue growth and hefty double-digit net margins make it attractive to own. Fastenal owns a huge product catalog: it stocks more than 410,000 types of fasteners and more than 585,000 maintenance and repair products, an inventory that makes Fastenal a one-stop shop for its customers. Innovative distribution tools, like Fastenal vending machines at customers' shops and increased exposure to private label products, should help to drive growth in the years ahead.

Even though Fastenal is one of the biggest distributors, the $5 trillion market remains hugely fragmented still. That's a key factor in FAST's upside potential. Earnings on June 4 could help trigger yet another squeeze in this hated stock.

Campbell Soup

140-year-old Campbell Soup (CPB) owns a product lineup that goes beyond chicken noodle and clam chowder. The firm's brand portfolio included non-soup labels such as Pace, Prego, Swanson and Pepperidge Farm in addition to its namesake label. As CPB focuses on fattening its margins, investors should win out in the longer-term.

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Two years ago, input cost inflation was the story on everyone's mind in food stocks. With the Fed dumping money into the system by the fistful, the argument made sense. But it hasn't materialized (in fact, deflation continues to be the battle being waged). So, with an increased focus on cost, Campbell Soup has been able to muscle its net margins into the double digits as recently as last quarter.

Now the firm is tackling sluggish sales growth with innovation. Between new product and packaging ideas, CPB is planning on introducing a bevy of new items to grocery shelves in the next two years, a bold move in an industry that's otherwise relatively stagnant. Right now, CPB sports a hefty short interest ratio of 10.21.

Realty Income

Last up is Realty Income (O), a $10 billion real estate investment trust (REIT) that short sellers hate right now. With a short interest ratio of 10.9, it would take more than two weeks of buying for shorts to cover their bets against this commercial landlord. Realty Income's mature portfolio of 3,800 well located mostly single-tenant retail properties gives it some downside protection against economic hiccups.

And Realty Income has an even bigger weapon against short sellers in 2014: a 5% dividend yield.

While most investors think of REITs as a good way to get exposure to the real estate market, that's really only a very small part of the equation. In reality, REITs are a more direct bet on income. Between a REIT structure that mandates 90% of income is paid out as dividends to shareholders, and industry standard triple-net leases that pass through very predictable revenues to the firm, these trusts are really an income vehicle. Exposure to real estate markets is secondary.

And dividends are like kryptonite to short sellers. Even in a flat market, dividends and margin interest can eat away at short returns -- and prime the pump for a squeeze. Keep an eye out for earnings on July 24.

To see these short squeezes in action, check out this week's Short Squeezes portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.


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At the time of publication, author had no positions in the names mentioned.

Jonas Elmerraji, CMT, is a senior market analyst at Agora Financial in Baltimore and a contributor to

TheStreet. Before that, he managed a portfolio of stocks for an investment advisory returned 15% in 2008. He has been featured in Forbes , Investor's Business Daily, and on CNBC.com. Jonas holds a degree in financial economics from UMBC and the Chartered Market Technician designation.

Follow Jonas on Twitter @JonasElmerraji