Last month, I interviewed psychologist Daniel Kahneman, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2002 and recently authored the book��Thinking, Fast and Slow.
In this video, Kahneman discusses how his thinking about decision-making has changed over the years. Have a look (transcript follows):
Dr. Kahneman: When I started in this line of work some 40 years ago, we somehow believed that imposing your rationality on thinking, not necessarily of individuals, but of organizations, was a feasible objective. I sort of was a great believer in��decision analysis and so on and in systematic approaches to decision-making. And I believe that was going to happen. It looked so compelling, the case for decision analysis. And then it turns out that decision analysis is restricted to a few domains, like oil drilling, but it has not conquered the world as I expected it to, so from that point of view, I may have become a little more pessimistic than I was. I really thought that you could improve systems fairly easily of judgment and of decision-making. I still believe they can be improved, but I'm less optimistic about it.
Top 10 Transportation Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Movado Group Inc. (MOV)
Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes fine watches. It operates in two segments, Wholesale and Retail. The company offers its watches under the Coach, Concord, Ebel, ESQ, Scuderia Ferrari, HUGO BOSS, Juicy Couture, Lacoste, Movado, and Tommy Hilfiger brands to jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, licensed partner retail stores, and a network of independent distributors. It is also involved in the after-sales service activities and shipping. In addition, Movado Group, Inc. operates retail outlet stores. As of January 31, 2013, the company operated 34 outlet stores. It operates principally in the United States, the Middle East, Europe, Asia, and the Americas. The company was formerly known as North American Watch Corporation and changed its name to Movado Group, Inc. in 1996. Movado Group, Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Jake L'Ecuyer]
Movado Group (NYSE: MOV) was also up, gaining 9.18 percent to $45.89 after the company reported upbeat Q4 earnings and issued a strong FY15 outlook.
- [By Dan Caplinger]
On Wednesday, Movado (NYSE: MOV ) will release its latest quarterly results. The stock has hit some bumps in the road lately, raising questions about whether it can successfully compete with its luxury-retail peers.
- [By John Udovich]
On Tuesday, small cap watchmaker Movado Group, Inc (NYSE: MOV) surged 10.5% after it reported earnings and it�� the only real pure play watchmaker as�mid cap Fossil Group Inc (NASDAQ: FOSL) has diversified into other accessories and has almost tripled over the past five years. Given the problems many clothing retailers are having, its probably worth taking a closer look whether or not watchmakers or other accessory stocks might make better investments.
Best Electric Utility Stocks To Buy For 2014: Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)
Johnson & Johnson engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of various products in the health care field worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Consumer, Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices and Diagnostics. The Consumer segment provides products used in baby care, skin care, oral care, wound care, and women?s health care fields, as well as nutritional, over-the-counter pharmaceutical products, and wellness and prevention platforms under the brands of JOHNSON?S, AVEENO, CLEAN & CLEAR, JOHNSON?S Adult, NEUTROGENA, RoC, LUBRIDERM, DABAO, LISTERINE, REACH, BAND-AID, CAREFREE, STAYFREE, SPLENDA, TYLENOL, SUDAFED, ZYRTEC, MOTRIN IB, and PEPCID AC. The Pharmaceutical segment offers products in various therapeutic areas, such as anti-infective, antipsychotic, contraceptive, dermatology, gastrointestinal, hematology, immunology, neurology, oncology, pain management, and virology. Its principal products include REMICADE for the treatment of immune me diated inflammatory diseases; STELARA for the treatment of moderate to severe plaque psoriasis; SIMPONI, a treatment for adults with moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, and ankylosing spondylitis; VELCADE for the treatment of multiple myeloma; PREZISTA and INTELENCE for treating HIV/AIDS patients; NUCYNTA for moderate to severe acute pain; INVEGA SUSTENNAtm for the acute and maintenance treatment of schizophrenia in adults; RISPERDAL CONSTA for the management of bipolar I disorder and schizophrenia; and PROCRIT to stimulate red blood cell production. The Medical Devices and Diagnostics segment primarily offers circulatory disease management products; orthopaedic joint reconstruction, spinal care, and sports medicine products; surgical care, aesthetics, and women?s health products; blood glucose monitoring and insulin delivery products; professional diagnostic products; and disposable contact lenses. The company was founded in 1886 and is based in Ne w Brunswick, New Jersey.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Monica Wolfe]
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
As of the close of the second quarter there were 42 guru owners of Johnson & Johnson. During the past quarter there were 11 gurus buying shares of JNJ and there were 25 gurus making sells of their stake in the company. These gurus maintain a combined weighting of 87.18%%.
Best Electric Utility Stocks To Buy For 2014: North American Palladium Ltd (PAL)
North American Palladium Ltd. (NAP) is a precious metals producer that has been operating its flagship Lac des Iles mine (LDI) located in Ontario, Canada. The Company is in the business of exploring and mining palladium, platinum, gold and certain base metals. The Company�� 100%-owned subsidiary is the Lac des Iles Mines Ltd. (LDI).
The Company�� Lac des Iles (LDI) palladium mine is a palladium producer. The mine is located approximately 85 kilometers northwest of the city of Thunder Bay in Ontario, Canada, and consists of open pit and underground mining operations and a 15,000 ton per day mill.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By James E. Brumley]
Are you a gambling man (or gambling woman, as the case may be)? Then now may be the right time to place a bet on North American Palladium Ltd (NYSEMKT:PAL) ... the micro cap precious metals miner that has watched its stock fall from just under $2.00 in early February to a low of 44 cents yesterday. That's a 78% drubbing, for those of you who are counting, with a big chunk of that loss coming yesterday when PAL shares lost 28% of their value on the heels of two... shall we say "less than flattering" articles about the company were posted? Yet, sometimes the very best trades are ideas that never looked good on paper.
Best Electric Utility Stocks To Buy For 2014: Moody's Corporation(MCO)
Moody?s Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides credit ratings; credit and economic related research, data, and analytical tools; risk management software; and quantitative credit risk measures, credit portfolio management solutions, training, and financial credentialing and certification services worldwide. Its Moody?s Investors Service segment publishes credit ratings on debt obligations, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities, and commercial paper programs, as well as the entities that issue such obligations in markets worldwide. This segment provides ratings in approximately 110 countries. Its ratings are disseminated via press releases to the public through print and electronic media, including the Internet and real-time information systems, which is used by securities traders and investors. As of December 31, 2010 this segment had ratings relationships with approximately 11,000 corporate issuers and approximate ly 22,000 public finance issuers. It also rated and monitored ratings on approximately 102,000 structured finance obligations. The company?s Moody?s Analytics segment develops products and services that support the risk management activities of institutional participants in financial markets. It also distributes investor-oriented research and data, including research on debt issuers, industry studies, and commentary on topical events developed by MIS as part of its rating process. In addition, this segment provides economic research, and credit data and analytical tools, such as quantitative credit risk scores; economic and regulatory capital risk management software and implementation services; and quantitative credit risk measures, credit portfolio management solutions, training, and financial credentialing and certification services. It serves approximately 4,100 institutions in approximately 115 countries. The company was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By U.S. News]
Alamy Is the National Security Agency really tapping your phone calls and reading your email? If they are -- in spite of the invasion of privacy concerns -- the truth is, it's probably some pretty boring stuff they're snooping in on: "Want to meet for lunch?" "Justin Bieber got arrested?" "Who's the new guy in accounting?" That sort of stuff. The real data that matters is much more personal. Lenders use it, and you should know about it. It's your hidden credit score. Lenders Easing Credit Standards After years of suffering, consumer credit is gaining giant momentum. Crawling out from the rubble of recession, lenders are looking to make deals. The "too big to fail" banks have been mopping up lingering legal messes, and the mortgage industry is still in recovery. But consumer-focused lenders have been easing credit standards and swimming downstream to gain retail customers and pump up profit margins. These mostly smaller lenders are finding a good deal of opportunity with consumers who have less-than-perfect credit. But they don't depend solely on your traditional credit score. They need more than that. Subprime Time The term "subprime" has become synonymous with the U.S. financial crisis of 2008. Tied to the manic mortgage industry that fueled the economy in the early 2000s, subprime loans were packaged as derivative investments and ultimately caused the collapse of the house of cards that was the American economy. But subprime lending -- issuing loans to consumers with FICO credit scores of 660 or below -- is making a comeback. And rather than causing concern for another crisis, it's helping credit-critical consumers rebound from the recession. It's also feeding the heat of a resurgent automobile industry. The credit bureau Equifax (EFX) reports that auto loan volume was at an eight-year high last year, and nearly a third of those loans were issued to subprime borrowers. For Americans with complicated credit histories, the opportunity for a financial
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Macy’s (M) wasn’t so lucky. It reported earnings and revenues that came in below forecasts and its guidance disappointed as well. (Read Barron’s Take here.) Its shares dropped 4.5% to $46.33. Moody’s (MCO), meanwhile, plunged 5.1% to $65.50.
- [By Laura Brodbeck]
Friday
Earnings Expected From: �Moody�� Corporation (NYSE: MCO), Wyndham Worldwide Corp (NYSE: WYN) Economic Releases Expected: �French industrial production, Spanish industrial production, Spanish business confidence, British industrial and manufacturing production, eurozone GDP, US non-farm payrolls, US unemployment ratePosted-In: Bank Of England European Central BankNews Options Previews Global Pre-Market Outlook Markets Trading Ideas Best of Benzinga
- [By Rich Smith]
Alamy For years -- ever since the Great Recession ended -- pundits have been pontificating about a strange trend in corporate America. Despite earning record profits, and having the ability to borrow cash easily, companies were refusing to spend. Like Scrooge in his office, they were raking in profits ... and then sitting on them, refusing to put the money to work to grow the American economy. Or so the story went. But was it true? it true? It turns out that this real story is a bit more complicated; and you'll be surprised where a lot of that cash came from ... and what it needs to be spent on. A Kernel of Truth Every complex tale grows from a kernel of truth, of course, and this one actually grows out of two such kernels. It's true that American corporations are fabulously profitable today. According to the Department of Commerce, profit margins at U.S. companies in 2013 were regularly hitting levels of 9.3 percentage points -- more than 57 percent higher than average over the past 60 years. Also true is that these profits, in turn, yielded a lot of cash for the corporations earning them. From 2006 through mid-2013, total cash reserves at U.S. nonfinancial companies (i.e., everything but banks) nearly doubled, rising from $820 billion to $1.48 trillion, an 81 percent increase. Credit ratings company Moody's (MCO) recently estimated that cash levels at the end of 2013 probably hit $1.5 trillion.
Best Electric Utility Stocks To Buy For 2014: Skullcandy Inc (SKUL)
Skullcandy, Inc., incorporated on May 20, 2005, is a designer, marketer and distributor of performance audio and gaming headphones and other accessory related products under the Skullcandy, Astro Gaming and 2XL by Skullcandy brands. The Company's products are sold and distributed through a variety of channels in the United States and approximately 80 countries worldwide. The Company is engaged in the distribution of headphones in specialty retailers focused on action sports and the youth lifestyle, such as Zumiez, Tilly�� and hundreds of independent snow, skate and surf retailers. It distributes through consumer electronics, mass, sporting goods and mobile phone retailers, such as Best Buy, Target, Dick�� Sporting Goods and AT&T Wireless. Skullcandy products are also sold through its Website.
The Company�� product line include dB Collecti; Mobility Collectio, which targets mobile channel with product features designed to work on cell phones and smartphones, such as the Apple iPhone, and 2XL, which represents traditional sports, motor sports and hip-hop and rock and roll music. The Company sponsors athletes, disc jockeys (DJs), musicians, artists and events within all areas of action sports and the indie and hip-hop music genres. Through its Websites, skullcandy.com, skullcandy.tv, ca.skullcandy.com, eu.skullcandy.com, uk.skullcandy.com, 2xl.com, astrogaming.com, astrogaming.co.uk and astrogaming.fr listen to music by its sponsored artists, read blog updates on events, athletes, DJs, musicians and artists, and shop for Skullcandy and Astro Gaming products.
The Company competes with Sony, JVC, Bose, Beats by Dr. Dre, Nixon, adidas, Incase, Urbanears, Monster Cable Products, Sol Republic, iFrogz,Nike and Sennheiser.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By MARKETWATCH]
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Japanese stocks weakened in early Thursday trading as the yen rose and Wall Street ended mixed, with the Nikkei Stock Average (JP:NIK) falling 1.2% to 15,929.74 after a 1.9% advance a day earlier. With the yen (USDJPY) slightly firmer than in the previous session, some investors sold currency-sensitive exporters, with Fanuc Corp. (JP:6954) (FANUF) down 2%, Kyocera Corp. (JP:6971) (KYOCF) off 1.9%, and Fujitsu Ltd. (JP:6702) (FJTSY) losing 2.3%. News that China would lift a ban on some sales of videogame consoles had sent shares of Nintendo Co. (JP:7974) (NTDOF) shooting 11% higher on Wednesday, but apparent profit-taking sent the stock down 4.2% in early Thursday action. Shares of rival Sony Corp. (JP:6758) (SNE) , however, followed with a 4% rise, also possibly buoyed by a Nikkei Asian Review report that it was planning a "smartphone offensive" in the U.S. and China. Canon Inc. (JP:7751) (CAJ) fell 2% on a separate Nikkei report that the company's 2013 operating profit would miss forecasts. Toshiba Corp. (JP:6502) (TOSYY)
- [By Sean Williams]
This week's loser
In spite of no company-specific news, audio accessories maker Skullcandy (NASDAQ: SKUL ) took it on the chin this week, down 5.4%. Skullcandy is in the midst of trying to turn around falling sales in a highly competitive environment. With its health intricately tied to Apple�and the remainder of the smartphone industry, Skullcandy will need to see steady smartphone sales growth if it hopes to meet its own sales targets this year. If the shares in my personal portfolio are any indication, I believe management is making the right moves to position itself for future growth. - [By Rich Smith]
Three weeks ago, audio specialist Skullcandy (NASDAQ: SKUL ) hired itself a new chief executive officer, 37-year-old former Nike + Digital Sport general manager Hoby Darling. At the time, the company advised investors that it intends to pay Darling $450,000 in annual salary, a sizable annual cash bonus, and $2 million worth of stock options and restricted stock units.
Best Electric Utility Stocks To Buy For 2014: WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ)
WisdomTree Japan Total Dividend Fund (The Fund) is a non-diversified fund. It seeks investment results that closely correspond to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the WisdomTree Japan Dividend Index (The Index).
The Index is a fundamentally weighted Index that measures the performance of dividend-paying companies incorporated in Japan, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and that meet other requirements necessary to be included in the WisdomTree DEFA Index. The Fund is managed by WisdomTree Asset Management, Inc.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Jim Lowell]
First Trust US IPO is US-centric and a great complement to my more speculative pick, WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity (DXJ), which is made up of dividend paying Japanese companies and an inbuilt hedge against Yen movements versus our almighty US dollar.
- [By Philip Springer, President, Retirement Wealth Management, Inc.]
The other alternative is WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity (DXJ). As the name suggests, it's the better alternative when the yen is declining. This fund is up 23% so far in 2013, compared with 15.5% for the iShares ETF.
- [By Will Ashworth]
Anyone who follows ETFs likely knows about WETF. That�� because its WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) gathered $9.5 billion in 2013, making it the second-most-popular fund next to the SPY. I recently gave it kudos for being one of the best funds in 2013 and although the DXJ is responsible for a considerable amount of WisdomTree�� growth in 2013, there are other reasons why I think this is one of the best asset managers anywhere.
- [By KIPLINGER]
Investors seeking to cash in on the Japanese stock market face a Catch-22. The government is trying to goose the economy by, among other things, lowering the value of the yen, a move designed to make Japanese exporters more competitive (see Japan�� Rebound Is for Real). But a falling yen harms U.S. investors because money they have in Japanese securities translates back into fewer bucks. Enter WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity (DXJ), an exchange-traded fund that invests in the stocks of dividend-paying Japanese firms that have a market value of at least $100 million.
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